You are here

Thursday, March 24, 2016 - 19:30

China's Economy: Can It Avoid the Japan Trap?

Arthur R. Kroeber, Head of research, Gavekal, Editor, China Economic Quarterly

 

Embassy of Ireland

3 Ritan Dong Lu

爱 尔 兰 大 使 馆 日 坛 东 路 3 号

Aierlan Dashiguan 3 Ritan Dong Lu

 

BIS events are open to foreign passport holders only.



 

All BIS events are off-the-record.

 

Photography, filming and recording are not permitted.
 
 
Non-members welcome for a single lecture fee of RMB 60;
students with valid ID RMB 30.
 
Membership desk open 7:00 pm for 7:30 pm lecture,
no reservations necessary.
For inquiries on the day of the event, from 5:30 pm - 7:30 pm, please call 1324 151 4978.

 

Map:

In the last three decades China has surged from impoverished backwater to become the world's second-biggest economy and largest trading nation. Yet as the recent tumult on global markets shows, China risks destabilizing the world as it makes the hard shift from an investment-driven to a consumer-oriented economy. The headwinds of a rapidly aging population, a battle against rampant corruption and an enormous national debt are also slowing the country's growth. Will China mature into a global economic leader, trigger a crisis, or stagnate like Japan? Arthur Kroeber, one of the world's leading commentators on the Chinese economy, will tackle these tough questions.

Arthur R. Kroeber is head of research at Gavekal, a financial-services firm based in Hong Kong, founder of the China-focused Gavekal Dragonomics research service, and editor of China Economic Quarterly. He divides his time between Beijing and New York. Before founding Dragonomics in 2002, he spent fifteen years as a financial and economic journalist in China and South Asia. He is a senior non-resident fellow of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center, an adjunct professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, and a member of the National Committee on US-China Relations. His book China's Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know is published by Oxford University Press in April 2016.